New Delhi:
Throwing up a close contest, in sharp contrast to all other exit polls so far, Axis My India has predicted that the ruling NDA may even fall short of the majority mark in Bihar.
The pollster has projected that the NDA will win between 121 and 140 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 98-118 and poll strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party will end up between zero and two.
The majority mark in the 243-member Bihar Assembly is 122, and the lower end of Axis My India’s prediction for the NDA puts it at one below that. On the other end, the upper end of 118 for the Mahagathbandhan, which has the RJD and Congress as the main constituents, will put it within touching distance of the majority.
The most worrying numbers for the NDA, however, will be the vote share prediction. The pollster has projected that the ruling alliance will get 43% of votes and the Mahagathbandhan will get 41 – a difference of only two percentage points.
